Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo

3 - 2

Tecos

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Cordero M.

31'

Padilla G.

62'

Cordero M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mineros de Fresnillo in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mineros de Fresnillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mineros de Fresnillo

Draws

Tecos

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tecos lately — more wins on the board than Mineros de Fresnillo.
Win probability leans Mineros de Fresnillo's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Tecos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 19%

Tecos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Tecos
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	15
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	2.13	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Sep 27, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tecos vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Mar 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tecos

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Nov 2, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tecos vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Mar 6, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tecos vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineros de Fresnillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordero M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ibarra R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Tecos Compare

Top Goalscorer Padilla G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Trejo P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros de Fresnillo 85 / 100

Tecos 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mineros de Fresnillo Tecos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mineros de Fresnillo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tecos conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Mineros de Fresnillo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mineros de Fresnillo VS Tecos

2.13 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17