Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo

2 - 1

Tigres de Alica

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Ramirez J.

39'

Ibarra R.

69'

Loera K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Mineros de Fresnillo and Tigres de Alica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mineros de Fresnillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Mineros de Fresnillo

33%

Draws

27%

Tigres de Alica

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Tigres de Alica carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on Mineros de Fresnillo taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 68%

Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mineros de Fresnillo	Tigres de Alica
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	20
Draws	6	3
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	2.13	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Oct 14, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Jan 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Tigres de Alica vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sep 14, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tigres de Alica

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mineros de Fresnillo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ibarra R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Tigres de Alica Compare

Top Goalscorer Loera K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mineros de Fresnillo 50 / 100

Tigres de Alica 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mineros de Fresnillo Tigres de Alica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mineros de Fresnillo scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Tigres de Alica let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mineros de Fresnillo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mineros de Fresnillo VS Tigres de Alica

2.13 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17