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Minerul Motru vs Progresul Corabia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 2008/2009 game between Minerul Motru and Progresul Corabia finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerul Motru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Minerul Motru
15%
Draws
85%
Progresul Corabia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Corabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progresul Corabia come out ahead of Minerul Motru on wins alone.
  • Progresul Corabia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Minerul Motru Clean Sheet 16%
Progresul Corabia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerul Motru Progresul Corabia
Matches Played 45 34
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.84 1.71
Goals Conceded 2 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Corabia vs Minerul Motru
1:3
Sep 25, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Minerul Motru vs Progresul Corabia
0:1
Feb 27, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Minerul Motru vs Progresul Corabia
5:1
Aug 15, 2008 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Corabia vs Minerul Motru
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerul Motru 10 / 100
Progresul Corabia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerul Motru Progresul Corabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Corabia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Progresul Corabia let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Minerul Motru found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (45 games).

Progresul Corabia's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Minerul Motru VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerul Motru

(Home)
24 Aug
Posada Perisani
3 : 0
Minerul Motru
28 May
Corvinul Hunedoara
3 : 0
Minerul Motru
24 May
Minerul Motru
1 : 5
Magura Cisnadie
20 May
Viitorul Targu Jiu II
5 : 2
Minerul Motru
17 May
Minerul Motru
1 : 3
Nuova
Page 1 of 9

Progresul Corabia

(Away)
11 Jun
Albota
3 : 0
Progresul Corabia
05 Jun
Progresul Corabia
4 : 1
Triumf Barca
28 May
Oltchim Ramnicu
0 : 1
Progresul Corabia
21 May
Progresul Corabia
3 : 0
Juventus Bascov
14 May
Campionii Arges 2
1 : 3
Progresul Corabia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS Turnu Severin 32 23 5 4 63:24 74
2 FC Caracal 32 19 8 5 55:24 65
3 Adunatii-Copaceni 32 19 6 7 61:31 63
4 Muscelul Muscel 32 16 7 9 61:36 55
5 Viitorul Pucioasa 32 15 8 9 49:41 53
6 Oltchim Ramnicu 32 15 6 11 44:34 51
7 Minerul Motru 32 14 7 11 55:49 49
8 Olt Slatina 32 13 6 13 36:41 45
9 Armata Craiova 32 12 6 14 35:39 42
10 Jiul Rovinari 32 11 9 12 32:35 42
11 Matasari 32 11 7 14 33:40 40
12 Prometeu Craiova 32 11 5 16 37:41 38
13 Campionii Arges 2 32 11 5 16 41:46 38
14 Energia Rovinari 32 9 7 16 37:54 34
15 Progresul Corabia 32 10 3 19 37:53 33
16 Petrom Chimia Craiova 32 9 4 19 28:46 31
17 Bals 32 3 3 26 19:89 12
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)