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Minerva vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
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Match Events

28' Event
Varela N.

AI Match Summary

Alcantarilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcantarilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Minerva
35%
Draws
34%
Alcantarilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Minerva have won more games recently than Alcantarilla.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Minerva Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva Alcantarilla
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Alcantarilla
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Minerva
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minerva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva 32 / 100
Alcantarilla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva Alcantarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alcantarilla conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Minerva has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Minerva found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Minerva VS Alcantarilla
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerva

(Home)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
Page 1 of 6

Alcantarilla

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)