Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Taulemesse F.
18'
18'
Ceballos J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Minerva and Ciudad Cieza finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ciudad Cieza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Minerva haven't matched Ciudad Cieza's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ciudad Cieza's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Minerva Clean Sheet 15%
Ciudad Cieza Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Minerva | Ciudad Cieza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.30 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Ciudad Cieza
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Minerva
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Minerva
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Ciudad Cieza
0:6
Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Cieza vs Minerva
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Minerva Compare
Top Goalscorer Ceballos J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65
Ciudad Cieza Compare
Top Goalscorer Taulemesse F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Minerva 27 / 100
Ciudad Cieza 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Minerva Ciudad Cieza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciudad Cieza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciudad Cieza let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Minerva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Minerva's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Minerva VS Ciudad Cieza
0.86 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Minerva
(Home) 20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0 Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0 FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1 Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2 E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0 Minerva
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0 FC Cartagena SAD B
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2 E.G. El Palmar
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0 Molinense
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0 Santomera
29 Mar
Minerva
1 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 3
Ciudad Cieza
(Away) 19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0 Ilicitano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
15 Aug
Orihuela
0 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Castellonense
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
15 Aug
Orihuela
0 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6 Ciudad Cieza
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
