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Minerva vs UCAM Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Porto Rodriguez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Minerva and UCAM Murcia B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minerva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Minerva
35%
Draws
30%
UCAM Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Minerva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Minerva Clean Sheet 14%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minerva UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.8 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs UCAM Murcia B
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Minerva
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Minerva
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs UCAM Murcia B
1:2
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Minerva
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minerva Compare

Top Goalscorer Porto Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minerva 31 / 100
UCAM Murcia B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minerva UCAM Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia B has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Minerva remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Minerva found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Minerva VS UCAM Murcia B
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Minerva

(Home)
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
Deportivo Maritimo
4 : 0
Minerva
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UCAM Murcia B

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)