Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mingachevir vs Zaqatala PFK

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Huseynov R.
45' Event
Kocharli B.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Sahbazli C.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between Mingachevir and Zaqatala PFK finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mingachevir
20%
Draws
51%
Zaqatala PFK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaqatala PFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Mingachevir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mingachevir a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 20%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mingachevir Zaqatala PFK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.87 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Zaqatala PFK
2:2
Apr 29, 2026 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Zaqatala PFK
7:1
Feb 13, 2026 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Zaqatala PFK
0:0
Oct 23, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Mingachevir
2:3
Apr 3, 2025 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Zaqatala PFK
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mingachevir Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseynov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sahbazli C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Zaqatala PFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagiyev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mingachevir 85 / 100
Zaqatala PFK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mingachevir Zaqatala PFK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mingachevir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mingachevir scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Zaqatala PFK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Mingachevir has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mingachevir VS Zaqatala PFK
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mingachevir

(Home)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
Page 1 of 6

Zaqatala PFK

(Away)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sahdag Qusar 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Gancabasar 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Sabail 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Karvan 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 MOIK Baku 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
6 Zaqatala PFK 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 FC Khankendi 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
8 Mingachevir 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
9 Shimal 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
10 Baku Sporting 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)