Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Minnesota United vs Atlante

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Quiros A.
32' Event
Padelford D.
Own Goal
37'
Chandler K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Minnesota United
30%
Draws
70%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Atlante carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Atlante taking it.
  • Atlante arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Minnesota United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 16%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United Atlante
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.54 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Leagues Cup
Minnesota United vs Atlante
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Minnesota United Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Atlante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 23 / 100
Atlante 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atlante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Atlante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Atlante lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minnesota United VS Atlante
2.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Minnesota United

(Home)
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
20 Sept
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6

Atlante

(Away)
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)