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Minnesota United vs Cleveland

USA USA

US Open Cup 2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United play Cleveland in the US Open Cup 2008. It looks like a close match. Recently, Minnesota United averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Cleveland averaged 1 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Minnesota United won 1, Cleveland won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 28, 2009 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Minnesota United and 1.31 for Cleveland. This points to a Minnesota United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Minnesota United
15%
Draws
33%
Cleveland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minnesota United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Minnesota United picked up more points recently compared to Cleveland.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 18%
Cleveland Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minnesota United Cleveland
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2009 USL First Division
Minnesota United vs Cleveland
3:0
Aug 22, 2009 USL First Division
Cleveland vs Minnesota United
1:0
May 16, 2009 USL First Division
Minnesota United vs Cleveland
0:1
Jun 24, 2008 US Open Cup
Minnesota United vs Cleveland
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minnesota United 50 / 100
Cleveland 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minnesota United Cleveland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Minnesota United or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Minnesota United attacking → ← attacking Cleveland

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minnesota United scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Cleveland let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Minnesota United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cleveland lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 24
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00