Sport Picks
Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati
USA
MLS Allianz Field, Saint Paul, MN 
Match Events
59'
59'
Duggan M.
66'
66'
Yeboah K.
69'
69'
Sub
Jabbari A. In: Barlow T.
Out: Jabbari A.
AI Match Summary
The MLS game between Minnesota United and FC Cincinnati finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minnesota United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Cincinnati
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Cincinnati come out ahead of Minnesota United on wins alone.
- Model gives FC Cincinnati a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Minnesota United Clean Sheet 10%
FC Cincinnati Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Minnesota United | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 MLS
Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati
1:0
Sep 19, 2024 MLS
Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati
1:2
May 8, 2022 MLS
Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati
0:1
Apr 3, 2021 Club Friendly
FC Cincinnati vs Minnesota United
1:3
Oct 24, 2020 MLS
FC Cincinnati vs Minnesota United
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Minnesota United Compare
Top Goalscorer Yeboah K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
FC Cincinnati Compare
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Minnesota United 22 / 100
FC Cincinnati 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Minnesota United FC Cincinnati
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Minnesota United scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: FC Cincinnati conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Minnesota United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Minnesota United VS FC Cincinnati
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Minnesota United
(Home) 23 May
Minnesota United
1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
16 May
New England Revolution
2 : 1 Minnesota United
14 May
Minnesota United
0 : 1 Colorado Rapids
10 May
Minnesota United
2 : 2 Austin FC
02 May
Columbus Crew
2 : 3 Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Minnesota United
1 : 1 Real Salt Lake
14 May
Minnesota United
0 : 1 Colorado Rapids
10 May
Minnesota United
2 : 2 Austin FC
25 Apr
Minnesota United
0 : 1 Los Angeles FC
19 Apr
Minnesota United
2 : 0 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 2
FC Cincinnati
(Away) 10 Jul
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1 Burnley
23 May
FC Cincinnati
6 : 2 Orlando City
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3 FC Cincinnati
13 May
FC Cincinnati
3 : 5 Inter Miami
09 May
Charlotte FC
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3 FC Cincinnati
09 May
Charlotte FC
2 : 2 FC Cincinnati
03 May
Chicago Fire
2 : 3 FC Cincinnati
22 Apr
New York City
4 : 4 FC Cincinnati
11 Apr
Toronto FC
1 : 1 FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27:29 | 17 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:39 | 11 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22:31 | 15 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)