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Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Minyor, Pernik
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Minyor Pernik and Kyustendil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Minyor Pernik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Minyor Pernik
15%
Draws
21%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Minyor Pernik's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Kyustendil have produced (1).
  • Model gives Minyor Pernik a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 20%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik Kyustendil
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil
0:0
Aug 26, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Minyor Pernik
2:0
May 9, 2020 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Minyor Pernik
0:0
Nov 6, 2019 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Kyustendil
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 85 / 100
Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minyor Pernik found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Kyustendil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Minyor Pernik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Minyor Pernik VS Kyustendil
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Minyor Pernik

(Home)
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
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Kyustendil

(Away)
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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