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Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West Stadion Minyor, Pernik
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Minyor Pernik host Septemvri Sofia 2 in the Third League - South-West. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Septemvri Sofia 2 have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Minyor Pernik have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Minyor Pernik have won 2 to Septemvri Sofia 2's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2024, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.06) point toward Septemvri Sofia 2. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Minyor Pernik
15%
Draws
36%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Sofia 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Minyor Pernik's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Minyor Pernik Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Aug 12, 2023 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Minyor Pernik
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Minyor Pernik 67 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Minyor Pernik Septemvri Sofia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Minyor Pernik's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Minyor Pernik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Septemvri Sofia 2 has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Minyor Pernik VS Septemvri Sofia 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Minyor Pernik

(Home)
07 Oct
Minyor Pernik
5 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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Septemvri Sofia 2

(Away)
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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