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Miracema EC vs Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Miracema EC Logo

Miracema EC

5 - 2
FT
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between Miracema EC and Alvorada finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miracema EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Miracema EC
35%
Draws
39%
Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alvorada come out ahead of Miracema EC on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Alvorada taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Miracema EC Clean Sheet 20%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miracema EC Alvorada
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.51
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2006 Tocantinense
Miracema EC vs Alvorada
0:0
May 15, 2005 Tocantinense
Miracema EC vs Alvorada
5:2
Apr 14, 2005 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Miracema EC
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miracema EC 10 / 100
Alvorada 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miracema EC Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Miracema EC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Alvorada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Miracema EC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alvorada
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Miracema EC

(Home)
26 Apr
Tocantinopolis
8 : 0
Miracema EC
23 Apr
Miracema EC
0 : 0
Alvorada
20 Apr
Miracema EC
0 : 4
Colinas
01 Apr
Miracema EC
1 : 3
Araguaina
29 Mar
Interporto
1 : 2
Miracema EC
Page 1 of 6

Alvorada

(Away)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)