Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Miramar vs Western Springs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League David Farrington Park
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ettema T.
Own Goal
18' Event
Smith O.
26'
Bobadilla N.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Miramar and Western Springs finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Miramar
6%
Draws
4%
Western Springs
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Western Springs haven't matched Miramar's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Miramar taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Miramar Clean Sheet 15%
Western Springs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Miramar Western Springs
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 14 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 National League
Miramar vs Western Springs
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Western Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Mcgavin C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Miramar 84 / 100
Western Springs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Miramar Western Springs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Miramar scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Western Springs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 23 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Miramar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Miramar VS Western Springs
2.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237