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Mirandes vs CDC Montalegre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 game between Mirandes and CDC Montalegre finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CDC Montalegre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mirandes
35%
Draws
30%
CDC Montalegre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CDC Montalegre come out ahead of Mirandes on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 20%
CDC Montalegre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes CDC Montalegre
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 15
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.87 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Mirandes vs CDC Montalegre
1:2
Aug 19, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CDC Montalegre vs Mirandes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes 32 / 100
CDC Montalegre 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes CDC Montalegre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDC Montalegre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CDC Montalegre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Mirandes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mirandes scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CDC Montalegre
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirandes

(Home)
12 May
Mirandes
4 : 1
SC Mirandela
05 May
Cacadores Taipas
2 : 3
Mirandes
28 Apr
Mirandes
1 : 3
AD Oliveirense
20 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Mirandes
14 Apr
Mirandes
1 : 1
Chaves B
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CDC Montalegre

(Away)
13 Sept
CDC Montalegre
1 : 1
Maia Lidador
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2
CDC Montalegre
30 Aug
CDC Montalegre
0 : 1
Ponte da Barca
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Celoricense
0 : 0
CDC Montalegre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vizela 32 23 6 3 73:13 75
2 AD Fafe 32 21 7 4 59:24 70
3 Sao Martinho 32 20 9 3 51:20 69
4 Trofense 32 20 7 5 60:24 67
5 FC Felgueiras 32 20 4 8 55:33 64
6 SC Mirandela 32 14 7 11 49:41 49
7 Chaves B 32 13 8 11 55:41 47
8 Merelinense 32 10 12 10 38:38 42
9 CDC Montalegre 32 10 10 12 37:50 40
10 Pedras Salgadas 32 11 6 15 43:52 39
11 Maria de Fonte 32 9 10 13 41:50 37
12 AD Oliveirense 32 10 7 15 40:55 37
13 AD Limianos 32 10 7 15 31:45 37
14 GD Uniao Torcatense 32 8 5 19 29:60 29
15 Mirandes 32 5 6 21 26:53 21
16 Cacadores Taipas 32 4 6 22 27:64 18
17 Vilaverdense FC 32 4 3 25 28:79 15
18 Gil Vicente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primeira Liga 2019/2020 (Main)