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Mirandes vs Coimbroes

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mirandes play Coimbroes in the Taça de Portugal 2018/2019. Coimbroes are favorites here. Recently, Mirandes averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Coimbroes averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Mirandes won 0, Coimbroes won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 30, 2018 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Mirandes and 1.24 for Coimbroes. This points to a Coimbroes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mirandes
15%
Draws
56%
Coimbroes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coimbroes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Mirandes picked up more points recently compared to Coimbroes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.24 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Mirandes Clean Sheet 19%
Coimbroes Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirandes Coimbroes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Mirandes vs Coimbroes
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirandes 30 / 100
Coimbroes 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirandes Coimbroes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coimbroes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Coimbroes & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mirandes attacking → ← attacking Coimbroes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirandes scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Coimbroes let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Mirandes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coimbroes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25