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Mirassol U20 vs Fernandopolis U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
da Silva Carvalho K.
64' Event
Felipe Jesus
86' Event
Felipe Jesus

AI Match Summary

Mirassol U20 in this Paulista U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mirassol U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mirassol U20
20%
Draws
40%
Fernandopolis U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mirassol U20 lately — more wins on the board than Fernandopolis U20.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Mirassol U20 taking it.
  • Regular Paulista U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mirassol U20 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mirassol U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Fernandopolis U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol U20 Fernandopolis U20
Matches Played 34 23
Wins 12 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2024 Paulista U20
Mirassol U20 vs Fernandopolis U20
3:0
May 10, 2024 Paulista U20
Fernandopolis U20 vs Mirassol U20
0:2
Jun 16, 2023 Paulista U20
Mirassol U20 vs Fernandopolis U20
3:0
May 11, 2023 Paulista U20
Fernandopolis U20 vs Mirassol U20
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Jesus
2 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva Carvalho K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Fernandopolis U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol U20 66 / 100
Fernandopolis U20 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol U20 Fernandopolis U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernandopolis U20 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Mirassol U20 scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Fernandopolis U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol U20 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 0
Mirassol U20
04 Sept
Mirassol U20
2 : 3
Ponte Preta U20
21 Aug
Portuguesa U20
0 : 0
Mirassol U20
15 Aug
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 0
Mirassol U20
07 Aug
Mirassol U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
Page 1 of 7

Fernandopolis U20

(Away)
14 Jun
Mirassol U20
3 : 0
Fernandopolis U20
07 Jun
Fernandopolis U20
3 : 2
Rio Preto EC U20
31 May
Olimpia FC U20
0 : 0
Fernandopolis U20
24 May
Jose Bonifacio EC U20
4 : 0
Fernandopolis U20
17 May
Fernandopolis U20
1 : 2
Tanabi U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 10 9 1 0 33:5 28
2 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 10 8 1 1 24:7 25
3 Olimpia FC U20 10 4 1 5 9:18 13
4 Tanabi U20 10 4 0 6 12:17 12
5 Rio Preto EC U20 10 2 0 8 9:23 6
6 Fernandopolis U20 10 1 1 8 5:22 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino U20 10 9 1 0 37:5 28
2 Gremio Prudente U20 10 7 1 2 17:9 22
3 Marilia AC U20 10 5 1 4 19:13 16
4 Presidente Prudente U20 10 4 1 5 15:21 13
5 Vocem U20 10 1 2 7 10:23 5
6 Tupa U20 10 0 2 8 8:35 2
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 10 7 2 1 43:8 23
2 Sertaozinho U20 10 6 1 3 17:17 19
3 Comercial U20 10 3 5 2 26:20 14
4 CA Bandeirante U20 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
5 Francana U20 10 3 1 6 20:28 10
6 Inter de Bebedouro U20 10 2 1 7 14:39 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velo Clube U20 10 8 1 1 22:5 25
2 Ferroviaria U20 10 6 2 2 34:5 20
3 XV de Jau U20 10 5 3 2 27:6 18
4 Rio Claro U20 10 4 2 4 15:14 14
5 Sao Carlos U20 10 1 2 7 7:29 5
6 CA Taquaritinga U20 10 1 0 9 2:48 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao U20 10 5 4 1 14:6 19
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 10 4 5 1 18:16 17
3 Piracicaba U20 10 5 1 4 18:12 16
4 Cosmopolitano Sports U20 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
5 Rio Branco EC U20 10 3 1 6 13:16 10
6 Independente SP U20 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 10 7 1 2 20:8 22
2 Aguai U20 10 5 2 3 11:6 17
3 Brasilis U20 10 5 1 4 15:20 16
4 Itapirense U20 10 4 0 6 13:21 12
5 Porto Football U20 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
6 Guacuano U20 10 2 1 7 11:19 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ituano U20 10 7 1 2 25:13 22
2 Desportivo U20 10 7 0 3 25:10 21
3 Sao Bento U20 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
4 Sfera U20 10 5 2 3 25:14 17
5 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 3 0 7 11:19 9
6 Elosport U20 10 0 0 10 4:38 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano U20 10 7 2 1 16:6 23
2 Taubate U20 10 5 3 2 22:15 18
3 Pinda U20 10 4 2 4 24:12 14
4 Sao Jose EC U20 10 3 5 2 16:11 14
5 CA Joseense U20 10 3 3 4 21:21 12
6 Uniao Mogi U20 10 0 1 9 4:38 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 10 7 1 2 23:8 22
2 Guarani U20 10 6 3 1 22:8 21
3 SKA Brasil U20 10 4 4 2 14:11 16
4 Capivariano U20 10 4 2 4 18:20 14
5 Paulinia FU U20 10 1 3 6 12:27 6
6 Metropolitano FC U20 10 1 1 8 6:21 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 10 10 0 0 38:4 30
2 Referencia U20 10 5 2 3 18:19 17
3 Osasco Sporting U20 10 5 1 4 18:10 16
4 Osasco Audax U20 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
5 GE Osasco U20 10 2 2 6 21:33 8
6 Clube Vital U20 10 2 1 7 10:29 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 10 9 1 0 44:2 28
2 Ibrachina U20 10 7 1 2 24:11 22
3 Portuguesa U20 10 4 2 4 13:17 14
4 Flamengo SP U20 10 3 1 6 8:21 10
5 Nacional SP U20 10 2 4 4 11:13 10
6 Guarulhos U20 10 0 1 9 5:41 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 10 7 2 1 18:4 23
2 Sao Caetano U20 10 7 2 1 12:4 23
3 Agua Santa U20 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
4 Aster Itaqua U20 10 3 2 5 5:11 11
5 EC Sao Bernardo U20 10 2 3 5 7:10 9
6 CA Juventus U20 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 10 8 1 1 38:4 25
2 Santo Andre U20 10 7 1 2 18:16 22
3 Portuguesa Santista U20 10 5 2 3 19:20 17
4 Maua FC U20 10 5 0 5 15:15 15
5 Jabaquara U20 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
6 Mauaense U20 10 0 1 9 9:35 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2024 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams