Sport Picks
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-SC
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sub
Andre Luis In: Everton Galdino
Out: Andre Luis
18'
18'
Bruno Pacheco
32'
32'
Victor Caetano
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mirassol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mirassol lately — more wins on the board than Chapecoense-SC.
- Model gives Mirassol a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Mirassol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 20%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mirassol | Chapecoense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-SC
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie B
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Aug 5, 2024 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Mirassol
0:1
Jul 29, 2023 Serie B
Chapecoense-SC vs Mirassol
0:1
Apr 15, 2023 Serie B
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-SC
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mirassol Compare
Top Goalscorer Eduardo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Chapecoense-SC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mirassol 36 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mirassol Chapecoense-SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chapecoense-SC conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Mirassol's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Mirassol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Chapecoense-SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mirassol VS Chapecoense-SC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mirassol
(Home) 17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1 Gremio
30 May
Athletico-PR
1 : 0 Mirassol
26 May
Lanus
1 : 0 Mirassol
23 May
Mirassol
1 : 0 Fluminense
20 May
Always Ready
1 : 2 Mirassol
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1 Gremio
23 May
Mirassol
1 : 0 Fluminense
13 May
Mirassol
2 : 1 Bragantino
10 May
Mirassol
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
07 May
Mirassol
2 : 0 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 3
Chapecoense-SC
(Away) 17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
07 Jun
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 1 Avai
03 Jun
Avai
3 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
31 May
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Gremio
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
03 Jun
Avai
3 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
31 May
Palmeiras
1 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
24 May
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | 25 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | 9 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)