Sport Picks
Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Edson Carioca In: Alesson
Out: Edson Carioca
22'
22'
Carrascal J.
Assist: Plata G.
45'
45'
Denilson
AI Match Summary
Flamengo RJ in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo RJ.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Mirassol haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
- Mirassol are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Flamengo RJ here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mirassol | Flamengo RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Mirassol
2:0
Aug 16, 2026 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ
1:5
Dec 6, 2025 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ
3:3
Aug 9, 2025 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Mirassol
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mirassol Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Flamengo RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Pedro
2 Goals Assists Leader Carrascal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mirassol 68 / 100
Flamengo RJ 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mirassol Flamengo RJ
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mirassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Mirassol went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Mirassol's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Flamengo RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mirassol VS Flamengo RJ
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mirassol
(Home) 07 Oct
Bragantino
1 : 1 Mirassol
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4 Mirassol
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0 Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2 Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2 Mirassol
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0 Botafogo RJ
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2 Vitoria
30 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 Palmeiras
16 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 5 Flamengo RJ
13 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 LDU Quito
Page 1 of 3
Flamengo RJ
(Away) 08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2 Flamengo RJ
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1 Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Santos
2 : 2 Flamengo RJ
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2 Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1 Flamengo RJ
22 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 Flamengo RJ
16 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 5 Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | 61 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 50 |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 48 |
| 6 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 44 |
| 8 | Santos | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:43 | 42 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34:33 | 37 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33:34 | 36 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:42 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:47 | 35 |
| 14 | Vasco | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:42 | 34 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 34:43 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30:34 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:37 | 31 |
| 18 | Gremio | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 31:39 | 30 |
| 19 | Remo | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:48 | 24 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29:57 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
