Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Mirassol

1 - 0

Lanus

Our Tip

Match Events

Jose Aldo

20'

Lucas Oliveira

48'

Neto Moura

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mirassol in this Copa Libertadores tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Mirassol

20%

Draws

38%

Lanus

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Mirassol haven't matched Lanus's recent run of results.
42% — that's where the model lands on Mirassol taking it.
Lanus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mirassol, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Mirassol Clean Sheet 20%

Lanus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mirassol	Lanus
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	9	13
Draws	5	6
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.38	0.5
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Lanus vs Mirassol

1:0

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Mirassol vs Lanus

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Lanus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 42 / 100

Lanus 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mirassol Lanus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Mirassol remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Lanus has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Lanus let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS Lanus

1.38 Goals Scored 0.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol

(Home)

17 Jul

Mirassol

2 : 1

Gremio

30 May

Athletico-PR

1 : 0

Mirassol

26 May

Lanus

1 : 0

Mirassol

23 May

Mirassol

1 : 0

Fluminense

20 May

Always Ready

1 : 2

Mirassol

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Lanus

(Away)

23 Jul

Lanus

2 : 0

Cienciano

30 May

Instituto

2 : 1

Lanus

26 May

Lanus

1 : 0

Mirassol

21 May

LDU Quito

2 : 0

Lanus

10 May

Argentinos Jrs

2 : 0

Lanus

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