Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol

Mirassol

1 - 0

Lanus

Our Tip

Match Events

Jose Aldo

20'

Lucas Oliveira

48'

Neto Moura

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Mirassol

35%

Draws

35%

Lanus

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Mirassol haven't matched Lanus's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Lanus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mirassol, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Mirassol Clean Sheet 15%

Lanus Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mirassol	Lanus
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	12
Draws	8	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.1	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.27	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Lanus vs Mirassol

1:0

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Mirassol vs Lanus

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Lanus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 31 / 100

Lanus 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mirassol Lanus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Mirassol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Lanus conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS Lanus

0.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1.88 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol

(Home)

13 Sept

Mirassol

2 : 2

Vitoria

06 Sept

Coritiba

1 : 2

Mirassol

02 Sept

Flamengo RJ

2 : 0

Mirassol

30 Aug

Mirassol

1 : 1

Palmeiras

23 Aug

Santos

1 : 1

Mirassol

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Lanus

(Away)

14 Sept

Deportivo Riestra

0 : 3

Lanus

06 Sept

Lanus

1 : 0

Defensa y Justicia

29 Aug

Boca Juniors

1 : 0

Lanus

25 Aug

Lanus

1 : 1

Argentinos Jrs

17 Aug

Lanus

1 : 3

Independiente

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