Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mirassol vs Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rene
Assist: Lucas Arcanjo
12' Event
Rene
Assist: Erick
18'
Britez E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mirassol
35%
Draws
26%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mirassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria have won more games recently than Mirassol.
  • Win probability leans Mirassol's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Mirassol Clean Sheet 68%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mirassol Vitoria
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Vitoria
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Mirassol
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Mirassol
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Serie A Betano
Mirassol vs Vitoria
1:1
Sep 1, 2023 Serie B
Vitoria vs Mirassol
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mirassol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Santos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edson Carioca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mirassol 50 / 100
Vitoria 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mirassol Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mirassol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mirassol's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vitoria has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mirassol remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mirassol VS Vitoria
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mirassol

(Home)
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
02 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Mirassol
30 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1
Palmeiras
23 Aug
Santos
1 : 1
Mirassol
Page 1 of 7

Vitoria

(Away)
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
27 Aug
Vasco
1 : 0
Vitoria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 27 17 6 4 53:22 57
2 Palmeiras 27 16 8 3 47:21 56
3 Athletico-PR 27 13 7 7 41:31 46
4 Bahia 27 12 10 5 42:33 46
5 Fluminense 27 12 9 6 41:35 45
6 Cruzeiro 27 12 6 9 39:39 42
7 Atletico-MG 27 11 7 9 36:32 40
8 Santos 27 10 8 9 41:40 38
9 Coritiba 27 10 8 9 37:38 38
10 Bragantino 26 10 6 10 32:29 36
11 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
12 Sao Paulo 26 9 6 11 31:30 33
13 Vitoria 27 9 6 12 27:39 33
14 Corinthians 27 8 8 11 28:29 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Gremio 27 7 7 13 30:38 28
17 Vasco 26 7 7 12 29:41 28
18 Internacional 27 6 10 11 30:35 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)