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Mislata vs Novelda CF

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2010/2011 game between Mislata and Novelda CF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novelda CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mislata
20%
Draws
64%
Novelda CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novelda CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mislata haven't matched Novelda CF's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Novelda CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mislata Clean Sheet 20%
Novelda CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mislata Novelda CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Mislata vs Novelda CF
1:1
Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Mislata
2:1
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Mislata vs Novelda CF
0:2
Jan 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Novelda CF vs Mislata
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mislata 16 / 100
Novelda CF 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mislata Novelda CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novelda CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novelda CF let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Mislata found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Novelda CF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novelda CF
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mislata

(Home)
13 May
Torrevieja
3 : 0
Mislata
06 May
Mislata
3 : 4
Muro
28 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
2 : 0
Mislata
22 Apr
Mislata
1 : 1
Novelda CF
15 Apr
La Nucia
5 : 0
Mislata
Page 1 of 6

Novelda CF

(Away)
06 Jun
Novelda CF
1 : 1
Acero
30 May
Paterna
2 : 0
Novelda CF
23 May
Novelda CF
2 : 1
Vilamarxant
16 May
Benicarlo
1 : 0
Novelda CF
09 May
Novelda CF
1 : 3
Torrent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valencia B 38 25 11 2 83:28 86
2 Olimpic Xativa 38 21 10 7 52:30 73
3 Novelda CF 38 20 8 10 62:46 68
4 La Nucia 38 18 12 8 48:35 66
5 Borriol 38 19 9 10 61:35 66
6 Villarreal C 38 19 7 12 75:53 64
7 Crevillente 38 15 9 14 43:43 54
8 Catarroja CF 38 13 11 14 35:32 50
9 Torrellano Illice CF 38 14 8 16 52:44 50
10 UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo 38 12 11 15 39:43 47
11 Atletico Saguntino 38 13 7 18 41:53 46
12 Mislata 38 12 10 16 37:52 46
13 Espanol de San Vicente 38 11 12 15 44:47 45
14 Eldense 38 12 9 17 31:39 45
15 Ribarroja 38 11 12 15 34:54 45
16 Torrevieja 38 12 7 19 31:42 43
17 Levante B 38 11 10 17 30:47 43
18 Burjassot 38 10 10 18 41:52 40
19 Villajoyosa 38 9 10 19 37:59 37
20 UD Puzol 38 7 9 22 33:75 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)