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Misto vs Aguia Negra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Sun, Nov 10, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Misto host Aguia Negra in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Misto have averaged 1.1 scored and 0.7 conceded recently, against Aguia Negra's 1.47 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Misto have won 0 to Aguia Negra's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 10, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.40 vs 0.92, favoring Misto. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Misto
35%
Draws
13%
Aguia Negra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Misto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Misto haven't matched Aguia Negra's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Misto a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Misto Clean Sheet 20%
Aguia Negra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Misto Aguia Negra
Matches Played 10 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Aguia Negra
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Aguia Negra vs Misto
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Misto 85 / 100
Aguia Negra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Misto Aguia Negra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Misto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia Negra let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Misto's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Misto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Aguia Negra registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Misto VS Aguia Negra
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Misto

(Home)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
Page 1 of 2

Aguia Negra

(Away)
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Ivinhema
2 : 1
Aguia Negra
15 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 1
Corumbaense
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
08 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Aguia Negra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Main)