Sport Picks
Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
Queensland Premier League 2023 
AI Match Summary
The Queensland Premier League 2023 game between Mitchelton and Sunshine Coast finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mitchelton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sunshine Coast come out ahead of Mitchelton on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Queensland Premier League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sunshine Coast have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mitchelton Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mitchelton | Sunshine Coast |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 25 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.29 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 25, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
3:0
Mar 18, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast
1:1
Jul 31, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast
0:1
May 1, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
2:1
Jul 25, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mitchelton 34 / 100
Sunshine Coast 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mitchelton Sunshine Coast
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mitchelton scored in 69% of their last 35 games.
Sunshine Coast has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Mitchelton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mitchelton VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mitchelton
(Home) 18 Aug
Mitchelton
5 : 3 Logan Lightning
10 Aug
Southside Eagles
4 : 1 Mitchelton
02 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U21
0 : 3 Mitchelton
21 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 0 Ipswich
13 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0 Mitchelton
Page 1 of 7
18 Aug
Mitchelton
5 : 3 Logan Lightning
21 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 0 Ipswich
06 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 6 Eastern Suburbs
16 Jun
Mitchelton
2 : 1 SWQ Thunder
02 Jun
Mitchelton
2 : 3 Caboolture
Page 1 of 4
Sunshine Coast
(Away) 03 Sept
Southside Eagles
2 : 1 Sunshine Coast
26 Aug
Sunshine Coast
0 : 1 Wynnum Wolves
13 Aug
SWQ Thunder
0 : 1 Sunshine Coast
30 Jul
Sunshine Coast
2 : 4 Brisbane Strikers
22 Jul
Albany Creek
0 : 2 Sunshine Coast
Page 1 of 7
03 Sept
Southside Eagles
2 : 1 Sunshine Coast
13 Aug
SWQ Thunder
0 : 1 Sunshine Coast
22 Jul
Albany Creek
0 : 2 Sunshine Coast
17 Jun
Surfers Paradise Apollo
3 : 1 Sunshine Coast
03 Jun
Western Pride
3 : 0 Sunshine Coast
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Surfers Paradise Apollo | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 63:23 | 52 |
| 2 | Wynnum Wolves | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 46:23 | 48 |
| 3 | Logan Lightning | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 39:31 | 43 |
| 4 | Brisbane Strikers | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 43:37 | 34 |
| 5 | Western Pride | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 41:43 | 30 |
| 6 | Albany Creek | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:33 | 28 |
| 7 | SWQ Thunder | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 45:37 | 27 |
| 8 | Capalaba FC | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 45:44 | 26 |
| 9 | Sunshine Coast | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30:38 | 24 |
| 10 | Southside Eagles | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 35:42 | 21 |
| 11 | Caboolture | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 36:56 | 21 |
| 12 | Mitchelton | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 23:71 | 13 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2023 (Play Offs)
