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Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2021 game between Mitchelton and Sunshine Coast finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mitchelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mitchelton
15%
Draws
39%
Sunshine Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mitchelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sunshine Coast carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sunshine Coast have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mitchelton Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitchelton Sunshine Coast
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 1.37 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.29 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
3:0
Mar 18, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast
1:1
Jul 31, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Sunshine Coast
0:1
May 1, 2022 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
2:1
Jul 25, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Mitchelton
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitchelton 34 / 100
Sunshine Coast 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitchelton Sunshine Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitchelton scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Sunshine Coast let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Mitchelton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mitchelton VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
4 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitchelton

(Home)
18 Aug
Mitchelton
5 : 3
Logan Lightning
10 Aug
Southside Eagles
4 : 1
Mitchelton
02 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U21
0 : 3
Mitchelton
21 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 0
Ipswich
13 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0
Mitchelton
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Sunshine Coast

(Away)
03 Sept
Southside Eagles
2 : 1
Sunshine Coast
26 Aug
Sunshine Coast
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves
13 Aug
SWQ Thunder
0 : 1
Sunshine Coast
30 Jul
Sunshine Coast
2 : 4
Brisbane Strikers
22 Jul
Albany Creek
0 : 2
Sunshine Coast
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane City 20 20 0 0 64:12 60
2 Rochedale 20 14 1 5 57:26 43
3 SWQ Thunder 20 13 2 5 47:32 41
4 Western Pride 20 10 2 8 36:33 32
5 Ipswich Knights 20 9 3 8 41:35 30
6 Mitchelton 20 9 1 10 41:43 28
7 Southside Eagles 20 6 6 8 30:33 24
8 Sunshine Coast 20 6 5 9 33:40 23
9 Souths 20 5 0 15 28:54 15
10 Holland Park Hawks 20 3 3 14 29:54 12
11 Wynnum Wolves 20 3 1 16 18:62 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2021 (Play Offs)