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Stadium Background

Mito vs Kawasaki Frontale

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Best Denki Stadium, Mito
Mito Logo

Mito

1 - 3
FT
Kawasaki Frontale Logo

Kawasaki Frontale

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Miyagi T. In: da Silva Barbosa M. A.
Out: Miyagi T.
46'
Sub
Romanic L. In: Mochiyama K.
Out: Romanic L.
58' Event
Mochiyama K.
Assist: Miura S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Mito and Kawasaki Frontale finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kawasaki Frontale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mito
35%
Draws
42%
Kawasaki Frontale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kawasaki Frontale come out ahead of Mito on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kawasaki Frontale have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Mito Clean Sheet 16%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mito Kawasaki Frontale
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:3
Mar 1, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito
3:2
Jul 12, 2023 Emperors Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito
2:1
Jul 11, 2018 Emperors Cup
Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito
2:1
Sep 25, 2004 J2 League
Mito vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mito Compare

Top Goalscorer Patryck
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Mochiyama K.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mito 31 / 100
Kawasaki Frontale 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mito Kawasaki Frontale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kawasaki Frontale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kawasaki Frontale conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Mito found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Mito stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mito VS Kawasaki Frontale
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mito

(Home)
29 Aug
Mito
1 : 1
Machida Zelvia
26 Aug
Mito
0 : 2
Kyoto Sangyo
22 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 3
Mito
15 Aug
Mito
1 : 1
Gamba Osaka
08 Aug
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 1
Mito
Page 1 of 6

Kawasaki Frontale

(Away)
29 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
4 : 2
Chiba
26 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1
Tochigi SC
22 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
15 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 2
Kyoto
09 Aug
Verdy
1 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)