Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mitrovica vs Istogu

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istogu in this Liga e Pare 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istogu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mitrovica
35%
Draws
39%
Istogu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Istogu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Mitrovica haven't matched Istogu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mitrovica a 26% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga e Pare 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Istogu have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 13%
Istogu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Istogu
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 3 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Istogu
3:5
Nov 3, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Istogu
2:2
Aug 26, 2024 Liga e Pare
Istogu vs Mitrovica
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 57 / 100
Istogu 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Istogu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitrovica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istogu has conceded goals in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Mitrovica found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Mitrovica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Istogu
0.67 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
23 Aug
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Kika
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

Istogu

(Away)
13 Sept
Ferizaj
2 : 0
Istogu
05 Sept
Istogu
1 : 0
Liria
30 Aug
Prishtina e Re
1 : 0
Istogu
22 Aug
Istogu
2 : 1
Besa Peja
15 Aug
Suhareka
5 : 0
Istogu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)