Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mitrovica vs Rilindja

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rilindja in this Liga e Pare 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rilindja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mitrovica
35%
Draws
43%
Rilindja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rilindja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Mitrovica haven't matched Rilindja's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Rilindja have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 19%
Rilindja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Rilindja
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 3 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Rilindja
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Liga e Pare
Rilindja vs Mitrovica
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Rilindja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 32 / 100
Rilindja 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Rilindja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rilindja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitrovica scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Rilindja let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Mitrovica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Rilindja
0.67 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
23 Aug
Mitrovica
0 : 0
Kika
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
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Rilindja

(Away)
11 Sept
Kika
0 : 3
Rilindja
05 Sept
Rilindja
1 : 1
Trepca 89
30 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 2
Rilindja
22 Aug
Rilindja
1 : 1
Ferizaj
16 Aug
Dinamo Ferizaj
2 : 0
Rilindja
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)