Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mitrovica vs Trepca 89

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2024/2025 game between Mitrovica and Trepca 89 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trepca 89.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mitrovica
35%
Draws
49%
Trepca 89
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trepca 89

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Trepca 89 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Trepca 89 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Trepca 89 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 11%
Trepca 89 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Trepca 89
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.97 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca 89 vs Mitrovica
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Trepca 89
2:4
Sep 25, 2024 Liga e Pare
Trepca 89 vs Mitrovica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 22 / 100
Trepca 89 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Trepca 89

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trepca 89 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Mitrovica scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Mitrovica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Trepca 89 conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Trepca 89
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
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Trepca 89

(Away)
26 Sept
Trepca 89
1 : 1
Vellaznimi
19 Sept
Istogu
1 : 2
Trepca 89
11 Sept
Trepca 89
1 : 1
Vjosa
05 Sept
Rilindja
1 : 1
Trepca 89
28 Aug
Ferizaj
0 : 1
Trepca 89
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)