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Mitrovica vs Trepca 89 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mitrovica host Trepca 89 in the Liga e Pare. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Mitrovica at 1 goals for, 1.86 against; Trepca 89 at 1.84 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Trepca 89 slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.75) point toward Trepca 89. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mitrovica
35%
Draws
43%
Trepca 89
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trepca 89

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Trepca 89 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Trepca 89 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 12%
Trepca 89 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Trepca 89
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 3 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca 89 vs Mitrovica
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Trepca 89
2:4
Sep 25, 2024 Liga e Pare
Trepca 89 vs Mitrovica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 30 / 100
Trepca 89 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Trepca 89

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trepca 89 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mitrovica scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Mitrovica has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Trepca 89 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Trepca 89
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

Trepca 89

(Away)
03 Oct
2 Korriku
1 : 0
Trepca 89
26 Sept
Trepca 89
1 : 1
Vellaznimi
19 Sept
Istogu
1 : 2
Trepca 89
11 Sept
Trepca 89
1 : 1
Vjosa
05 Sept
Rilindja
1 : 1
Trepca 89
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
3 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 Rilindja 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
5 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
6 Suhareka 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
7 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
8 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
9 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
10 Istogu 8 3 1 4 7:12 10
11 Vellaznimi 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 8 0 3 5 7:13 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)