Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mitrovica vs Vellaznimi

Kosovo Kosovo

Kosovar Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vellaznimi in this Kosovar Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mitrovica
35%
Draws
37%
Vellaznimi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vellaznimi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Vellaznimi have won more games recently than Mitrovica.
  • Model gives Mitrovica a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Vellaznimi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vellaznimi, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vellaznimi have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 14%
Vellaznimi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitrovica Vellaznimi
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Liga e Pare
Vellaznimi vs Mitrovica
1:2
Dec 4, 2024 Kosovar Cup
Mitrovica vs Vellaznimi
3:4
Oct 26, 2024 Liga e Pare
Vellaznimi vs Mitrovica
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Vellaznimi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitrovica 66 / 100
Vellaznimi 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitrovica Vellaznimi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitrovica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitrovica found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vellaznimi conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mitrovica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mitrovica VS Vellaznimi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitrovica

(Home)
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

Vellaznimi

(Away)
26 Sept
Trepca 89
1 : 1
Vellaznimi
20 Sept
Vellaznimi
1 : 5
Ferizaj
11 Sept
Liria
3 : 1
Vellaznimi
04 Sept
Vellaznimi
0 : 4
Prishtina e Re
30 Aug
Besa Peja
0 : 1
Vellaznimi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Istogu 1
Feronikeli 2
Besa Peja 1
Prishtina e Re 2
Rahoveci 0
Drita 3
Dukagjini 6
Dardania 2
Mitrovica 3
Vellaznimi 4
Gjilani 4
Liria 1
TOP Futbolli 1
Prishtina 5
Trepca 89 1
Suhareka 3
2 Korriku 1
Dinamo Ferizaj 2
Fushe Kosova 0
Malisheva 5
Flamurtari 0
Llapi 5
Vushtrria 1
Kek-U 0
Kika 2
Trepca Mitrovice 6
Vjosa 0
Drenica 5
Ferizaj 4
Ramiz Sadiku 0
Rilindja 2
FC Ballkani 1
1/8-finals
Feronikeli 0
Prishtina e Re 2
Drita 1
Dukagjini 0
Vellaznimi 2
Gjilani 1
Prishtina 4
Suhareka 0
Dinamo Ferizaj 0
Malisheva 2
Llapi 2
Vushtrria 0
Trepca Mitrovice 0
Drenica 1
Ferizaj 1
Rilindja 0
Quarter-finals
Prishtina e Re 0
Drita 4
Vellaznimi 0
Prishtina 4
Malisheva 0
Llapi 1
Drenica 1
Ferizaj 0
Semi-finals
Drita 0
Prishtina 4
Llapi 4
Drenica 0
Final
Prishtina 1
Llapi 0