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Mitundu Baptist vs Red Lions Prediction & H2H Stats

Malawi Malawi

Super League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mitundu Baptist host Red Lions in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Mitundu Baptist at 0.8 goals for, 0.87 against; Red Lions at 0.73 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Mitundu Baptist have won 0 to Red Lions's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.76) back Red Lions to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Mitundu Baptist
35%
Draws
30%
Red Lions
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Red Lions have won more games recently than Mitundu Baptist.
  • Mitundu Baptist are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Mitundu Baptist Clean Sheet 20%
Red Lions Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mitundu Baptist Red Lions
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League
Red Lions vs Mitundu Baptist
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mitundu Baptist 58 / 100
Red Lions 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mitundu Baptist Red Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mitundu Baptist Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Lions has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Mitundu Baptist stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Mitundu Baptist's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mitundu Baptist VS Red Lions
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mitundu Baptist

(Home)
09 Sept
Dedza Dynamos
0 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
23 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
0 : 0
Big Bullets
15 Aug
Chitipa United
1 : 0
Mitundu Baptist
09 Aug
Mitundu Baptist
2 : 1
Karonga United
26 Jul
Mitundu Baptist
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
Page 1 of 3

Red Lions

(Away)
05 Sept
Red Lions
0 : 0
Masters FC
22 Aug
Mighty Wanderers FC
2 : 1
Red Lions
15 Aug
Red Lions
1 : 0
Moyale Barracks
09 Aug
Red Lions
0 : 0
Kamuzu Barracks
25 Jul
Blue Eagles
3 : 2
Red Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blue Eagles 15 10 1 4 24:16 31
2 Big Bullets 15 8 6 1 20:7 30
3 Mighty Wanderers FC 15 8 5 2 27:11 29
4 Silver Strikers 15 8 5 2 23:10 29
5 Masters FC 15 6 4 5 17:16 22
6 Moyale Barracks 15 5 6 4 16:17 21
7 Chitipa United 15 6 3 6 11:16 21
8 Red Lions 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
9 Mitundu Baptist 15 5 5 5 12:13 20
10 Civo Utd 15 6 2 7 10:14 20
11 Ekhaya 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
12 Dedza Dynamos 15 3 6 6 9:19 15
13 Karonga United 15 3 5 7 14:23 14
14 MAFCO 15 3 4 8 12:17 13
15 Kamuzu Barracks 15 3 3 9 15:22 12
16 Creck Sporting 15 2 4 9 11:20 10
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)