Sport Picks

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Mixto W vs Acao W

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mixto W play Acao W in the Copa do Brasil Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mixto W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Acao W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Mixto W won 3, Acao W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Mixto W and 1.63 for Acao W. This points to a Acao W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mixto W
17%
Draws
44%
Acao W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Acao W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mixto W picked up more points recently compared to Acao W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Mixto W Clean Sheet 14%
Acao W Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto W Acao W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Mixto W vs Acao W
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Mixto W vs Acao W
1:4
Sep 20, 2025 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Mixto W
0:1
May 19, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Mixto W vs Acao W
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Matogrossense Women
Acao W vs Mixto W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mixto W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Acao W Compare

Top Goalscorer Natasha Sorriso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto W 38 / 100
Acao W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto W Acao W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Acao W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mixto W attacking → ← attacking Acao W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mixto W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Acao W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mixto W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Acao W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 44
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25