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Mixto W vs Bahia W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Dutrinha), Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Isabela
27' Event
Gauto F.
45' Event
Aila

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mixto W
20%
Draws
51%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bahia W lately — more wins on the board than Mixto W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Mixto W Clean Sheet 19%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mixto W Bahia W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.89 3.06
Goals Conceded 1.61 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Mixto W vs Bahia W
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Mixto W vs Bahia W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mixto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauto F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aila
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mixto W 32 / 100
Bahia W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mixto W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mixto W scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Bahia W conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mixto W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mixto W VS Bahia W
0.33 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
17% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mixto W

(Home)
22 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Mixto W
15 Aug
Mixto W
1 : 2
Cruzeiro W
09 Aug
EC Juventude W
0 : 1
Mixto W
01 Aug
Mixto W
0 : 0
Atletico-MG W
25 Jul
Mixto W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
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Bahia W

(Away)
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)