Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mizoram vs Nagaland

India India

Santosh Trophy
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lohe Y.

AI Match Summary

The Santosh Trophy game between Mizoram and Nagaland finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nagaland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mizoram
6%
Draws
4%
Nagaland
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mizoram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mizoram carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mizoram taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Santosh Trophy game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mizoram Clean Sheet 17%
Nagaland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mizoram Nagaland
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 17 9
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2025 Santosh Trophy
Mizoram vs Nagaland
0:1
Nov 30, 2021 Santosh Trophy
Nagaland vs Mizoram
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mizoram Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nagaland Compare

Top Goalscorer Lohe Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mizoram 84 / 100
Nagaland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mizoram Nagaland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mizoram scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Nagaland let in goals in 68% of their last 25 matches.

Away concern: Nagaland has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mizoram VS Nagaland
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

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