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Stadium Background

Mjallby vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 Strandvallen, Hällevik
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Stroud E.
Assist: Manneh A.
27' Event
Bergstrom J.
Assist: Stroud E.
43'
Botheim E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Mjallby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mjallby
44%
Draws
20%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mjallby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Mjallby have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mjallby, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Malmo FF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
0:0
May 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Mjallby
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Mjallby
1:3
Jun 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergstrom J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stroud E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Malmo FF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 34 / 100
Malmo FF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mjallby scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Malmo FF has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mjallby went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Malmo FF
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
21 Jul
Mjallby
3 : 0
Lincoln Red Imps
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
03 Jul
Sirius
4 : 4
Mjallby
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
26 Jul
Malmo FF
1 : 2
Elfsborg
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Malmo FF
4 : 0
IFK Goteborg
04 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2 : 2
Midtjylland
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mjallby4
Malmo FF0
GAIS3
AIK2
Hammarby1
Djurgarden0
Sirius1
IFK Goteborg0
Semi-finals
Mjallby3
GAIS0
Hammarby4
Sirius3
Final
Mjallby2
Hammarby1