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Mjallby vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 Strandvallen, Hällevik
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Stroud E.
Assist: Manneh A.
27' Event
Bergstrom J.
Assist: Stroud E.
43'
Botheim E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Mjallby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Mjallby
30%
Draws
58%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Malmo FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Malmo FF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Malmo FF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Malmo FF arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mjallby, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Malmo FF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
0:0
May 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Mjallby
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Mjallby
1:3
Jun 30, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Malmo FF
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergstrom J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stroud E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Malmo FF Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 10 / 100
Malmo FF 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malmo FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mjallby scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Malmo FF has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mjallby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Malmo FF
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
31 Aug
Djurgarden
4 : 0
Mjallby
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
13 Sept
Malmo FF
4 : 1
Orgryte
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mjallby 4
Malmo FF 0
GAIS 3
AIK 2
Hammarby 1
Djurgarden 0
Sirius 1
IFK Goteborg 0
Semi-finals
Mjallby 3
GAIS 0
Hammarby 4
Sirius 3
Final
Mjallby 2
Hammarby 1