Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjallby vs Sirius

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Strandvallen, Hällevik
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Liimatta O.
9'
Heier M.
24' Event
Liimatta O.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Mjallby and Sirius finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjallby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mjallby
20%
Draws
57%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sirius carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sirius taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjallby Sirius
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 21
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.77 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Sirius
4:3
Jul 3, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Mjallby
4:4
Jul 27, 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby vs Sirius
2:1
Jul 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Mjallby
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Mjallby
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjallby Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindberg O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bergstrom J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sirius Compare

Top Goalscorer Liimatta O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bjerkebo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjallby 10 / 100
Sirius 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjallby Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sirius Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Mjallby's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sirius has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Mjallby stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mjallby VS Sirius
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjallby

(Home)
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
11 Aug
Slovan Bratislava
2 : 0
Mjallby
08 Aug
Mjallby
0 : 1
Elfsborg
04 Aug
Mjallby
1 : 2
Slovan Bratislava
28 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 0
Mjallby
Page 1 of 7

Sirius

(Away)
15 Aug
Mjallby
4 : 3
Sirius
10 Aug
Sirius
2 : 2
Brommapojkarna
03 Aug
Halmstad
0 : 2
Sirius
26 Jul
Sirius
4 : 1
IFK Goteborg
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 17 13 3 1 47:23 42
2 Hammarby 17 10 3 4 40:15 33
3 AIK 17 8 4 5 25:25 28
4 Elfsborg 17 7 6 4 24:18 27
5 Djurgarden 16 8 2 6 34:19 26
6 Malmo FF 17 8 2 7 32:27 26
7 Hacken 16 6 7 3 28:26 25
8 Vasteras SK 17 7 4 6 25:32 25
9 GAIS 17 6 5 6 21:16 23
10 Brommapojkarna 17 5 6 6 25:27 21
11 Mjallby 16 5 5 6 24:23 20
12 IFK Goteborg 17 5 4 8 22:38 19
13 Kalmar 17 5 3 9 21:28 18
14 Degerfors 17 4 4 9 17:27 16
15 Orgryte 17 3 4 10 21:40 13
16 Halmstad 16 1 4 11 11:33 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)