Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen 2 vs Ullern

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dahl B.
12' Event
Tonnessen I.
31' Event
Natana W.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2024 game between Mjondalen 2 and Ullern finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mjondalen 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mjondalen 2
15%
Draws
42%
Ullern
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mjondalen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ullern come out ahead of Mjondalen 2 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Mjondalen 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Ullern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen 2 Ullern
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.23 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.8 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Mjondalen 2 vs Ullern
3:1
Jun 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Ullern vs Mjondalen 2
4:1
Sep 23, 2019 Division 3 - Group 2
Mjondalen 2 vs Ullern
4:2
May 20, 2019 Division 3 - Group 2
Ullern vs Mjondalen 2
1:1
Aug 26, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4
Mjondalen 2 vs Ullern
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjondalen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahl B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Natana W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Ullern Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonnessen I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 2 32 / 100
Ullern 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen 2 Ullern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ullern Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mjondalen 2 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Ullern registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ullern
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen 2

(Home)
27 Oct
Mjondalen 2
3 : 2
Skeid 2
20 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 2
8 : 1
Mjondalen 2
08 Oct
Mjondalen 2
3 : 1
Ullern
29 Sept
Asker
2 : 1
Mjondalen 2
22 Sept
Mjondalen 2
0 : 1
Nordstrand
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Ullern

(Away)
26 Sept
Heming
3 : 0
Ullern
19 Sept
Ullern
2 : 1
Valerenga 2
12 Sept
Ready
4 : 3
Ullern
05 Sept
Ullern
2 : 6
Asker
30 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 : 3
Ullern
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