Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen vs Notodden

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mjondalen host Notodden in the Division 2 - Group 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Mjondalen at 1.88 goals for, 1.5 against; Notodden at 1.38 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Mjondalen have won 4 to Notodden's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 20, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Mjondalen. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mjondalen
44%
Draws
20%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Mjondalen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mjondalen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 16%
Notodden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen Notodden
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Mjondalen
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
4:0
Aug 1, 2021 NM Cup
Notodden vs Mjondalen
0:3
Feb 6, 2021 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Mjondalen
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 36 / 100
Notodden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mjondalen scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Notodden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Mjondalen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mjondalen VS Notodden
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen

(Home)
25 Jul
Brattvag
3 : 5
Mjondalen
27 Jun
Mjondalen
1 : 0
Bjarg
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
13 Jun
Mjondalen
3 : 3
Kvik Halden
31 May
Pors
1 : 0
Mjondalen
Page 1 of 6

Notodden

(Away)
25 Jul
Notodden
1 : 0
Sotra
27 Jun
Sandviken
0 : 4
Notodden
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
14 Jun
Lysekloster
0 : 2
Notodden
31 May
Notodden
0 : 0
Jerv
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jerv13102126:1232
2Mjondalen1382327:1826
3Brattvag1381425:1425
4Kvik Halden1373322:1424
5Bjarg1371522:2022
6Notodden1363420:1121
7Traeff1354424:2119
8Sotra1353524:1418
9Pors1353515:1718
10Arendal1335518:2014
11Lysekloster1335517:2514
12Sandviken1342717:2714
13Eik-Tonsberg13111113:324
14Vidar1303109:343
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)