Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mjondalen vs Notodden

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Consto Arena, Mjøndalen
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Hammerli J.
46'
Sub
Steinset K. In: Schmolker V.
Out: Steinset K.
56'
Bjornebye T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Mjondalen and Notodden finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Mjondalen
20%
Draws
46%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Notodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Notodden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Notodden taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mjondalen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mjondalen Clean Sheet 14%
Notodden Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mjondalen Notodden
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Mjondalen vs Notodden
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Mjondalen
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Mjondalen vs Notodden
4:0
Aug 1, 2021 NM Cup
Notodden vs Mjondalen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mjondalen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordbo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mjondalen 10 / 100
Notodden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mjondalen Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notodden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mjondalen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Notodden let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Mjondalen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mjondalen VS Notodden
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mjondalen

(Home)
19 Sept
Mjondalen
3 : 1
Sotra
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
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Notodden

(Away)
20 Sept
Notodden
4 : 1
Arendal
16 Sept
Notodden
2 : 3
Odds BK
13 Sept
Traeff
1 : 1
Notodden
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Kvik Halden
0 : 0
Notodden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 20 15 3 2 43:18 48
2 Brattvag 20 12 3 5 41:24 39
3 Bjarg 20 12 2 6 42:26 38
4 Mjondalen 20 12 2 6 36:27 38
5 Sotra 20 11 3 6 42:20 36
6 Notodden 20 10 5 5 30:16 35
7 Kvik Halden 20 9 4 7 28:24 31
8 Traeff 20 8 6 6 36:36 30
9 Arendal 20 7 5 8 28:34 26
10 Pors 20 6 5 9 22:27 23
11 Sandviken 20 5 4 11 29:43 19
12 Lysekloster 20 3 5 12 21:42 14
13 Vidar 20 2 4 14 18:53 10
14 Eik-Tonsberg 20 2 1 17 21:47 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
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