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Mkhambathi vs Lerumo Lions

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup
Mkhambathi Logo

Mkhambathi

2 - 1
FT
Lerumo Lions Logo

Lerumo Lions

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ndelu T.
35' Event
Mlotshwa N.
Assist: Nkotsi P.
89' Event
Zondo X. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mkhambathi
25%
Draws
52%
Lerumo Lions
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lerumo Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lerumo Lions lately — more wins on the board than Mkhambathi.
  • Lerumo Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lerumo Lions arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mkhambathi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mkhambathi Clean Sheet 16%
Lerumo Lions Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mkhambathi Lerumo Lions
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 9
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Nedbank Cup
Mkhambathi vs Lerumo Lions
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mkhambathi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndelu T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zondo X. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lerumo Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlotshwa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mkhambathi 10 / 100
Lerumo Lions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mkhambathi Lerumo Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lerumo Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lerumo Lions conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mkhambathi's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Mkhambathi has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mkhambathi VS Lerumo Lions
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mkhambathi

(Home)
22 Feb
Milford
3 : 0
Mkhambathi
08 Feb
Mkhambathi
2 : 1
Lerumo Lions
12 Feb
Mkhambathi
0 : 4
Real Native

Lerumo Lions

(Away)
29 Aug
Lerumo Lions
2 : 0
NWU FC
21 Aug
Venda
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
17 May
Lerumo Lions
4 : 0
Black Leopards
10 May
Midlands Wanderers
1 : 1
Lerumo Lions
02 May
Pretoria U.
0 : 1
Lerumo Lions
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TS Galaxy -
TBD -
TBD -
Marumo Gallants -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
TBD -
The Bees 0
Gomora United 1
Cardinals -
TBD -
TBD -
Jacksa Spears -
Vasco Da Gama -
TBD -
TBD -
Luthuli Brigades -
Hungry Lions 2
Venda 1
Leicesterford City 1
Pretoria U. 2
Kruger United 0
Highbury 3
TBD -
Sekhukhune -
SSU M-17 -
TBD -
Milford 2
Baroka 0
Mkhambathi -
TBD -
Lerumo Lions 1
Midlands Wanderers 0
Golden Arrows -
TBD -
TBD -
Orbit College -
Stellenbosch FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Cape Town City 0
Upington City 1
TBD -
Magesi -
Durban City -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippa Utd. -
Polokwane City -
TBD -
TBD -
AmaZulu -
Siwelele -
TBD -
TBD -
Richards Bay -
Army Rocket -
TBD -
Black Leopards 0
Real Native 1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila -
TBD -
TBD -
Orlando Pirates -
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy 1
Marumo Gallants 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 2
Gomora United 1
Cardinals 2
Jacksa Spears 4
Vasco Da Gama 4
Luthuli Brigades 1
Hungry Lions 1
Pretoria U. 2
Highbury 0
Sekhukhune 1
SSU M-17 1
Milford 2
Mkhambathi 2
Lerumo Lions 1
Golden Arrows 3
Orbit College 0
Stellenbosch FC 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Upington City 1
Magesi 0
Durban City 1
Chippa Utd. 0
Polokwane City 1
AmaZulu 2
Siwelele 3
Richards Bay 4
Army Rocket 0
Real Native 3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 1
Orlando Pirates 4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Jacksa Spears 1
Vasco Da Gama 0
Pretoria U. 0
Sekhukhune 1
Milford 3
Mkhambathi 0
Golden Arrows 1
Stellenbosch FC 0
Upington City 0
Durban City 1
AmaZulu 1
Richards Bay 0
Real Native 1
Orlando Pirates 0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Jacksa Spears 0
Sekhukhune 2
Milford 3
Golden Arrows 1
Durban City 2
AmaZulu 1
Real Native 2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy 2
Milford 1
Durban City 1
Real Native 0
Final
TS Galaxy 1
Durban City 2