Sport Picks
MKS Mlawa vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
23'
23'
Kolasa K.
50'
50'
Poplawski K.
52'
52'
Zielski K.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between MKS Mlawa and Tomaszow Mazowiecki finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomaszow Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MKS Mlawa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- MKS Mlawa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans MKS Mlawa's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MKS Mlawa | Tomaszow Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:3
May 24, 2026 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
3:1
Nov 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa
1:3
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Tomaszow Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa
3:3
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MKS Mlawa Compare
Top Goalscorer Zielski K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Slesicki D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Tomaszow Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Kolasa K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poplawski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MKS Mlawa 38 / 100
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MKS Mlawa Tomaszow Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MKS Mlawa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: MKS Mlawa scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Tomaszow Mazowiecki has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
MKS Mlawa VS Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
MKS Mlawa
(Home) 03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4 MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2 LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1 Troszyn
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2 LKS Lodz II
19 Aug
MKS Mlawa
2 : 3 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
07 Aug
MKS Mlawa
0 : 1 Pelikan
Page 1 of 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
(Away) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Troszyn
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
4 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
19 Aug
MKS Mlawa
2 : 3 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Plock II
2 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
