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ML Vitebsk vs Neman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ML Vitebsk host Neman in the Vysshaya Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: ML Vitebsk at 1.79 goals for, 1.14 against; Neman at 1.5 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, ML Vitebsk have won 2 to Neman's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Neman. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ML Vitebsk
35%
Draws
34%
Neman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Neman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ML Vitebsk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
Neman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk Neman
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs ML Vitebsk
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Super Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Neman
2:3
Sep 20, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs ML Vitebsk
3:1
May 3, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Neman
1:0
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Neman vs ML Vitebsk
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 49 / 100
Neman 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk Neman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: ML Vitebsk stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

ML Vitebsk's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Neman conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS Neman
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ML Vitebsk

(Home)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

Neman

(Away)
02 Oct
Neman
1 : 2
Dynamo Brest
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2
Neman
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2
Neman
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 24 10 4 10 30:29 34
9 Zhodino 23 8 6 9 29:29 30
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 24 5 8 11 24:42 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)