Sport Picks

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ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska

Europe Europe

Conference League Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Conference League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: ML Vitebsk at 2.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Sutjeska at 0.5 for, 1.38 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.94, favoring ML Vitebsk. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
ML Vitebsk
22%
Draws
18%
Sutjeska
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ML Vitebsk come out ahead of Sutjeska on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on ML Vitebsk taking it.
  • ML Vitebsk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk Sutjeska
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 58 / 100
Sutjeska 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk Sutjeska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Sutjeska lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sutjeska has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

ML Vitebsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS Sutjeska
2.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ML Vitebsk

(Home)
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
08 Jul
ML Vitebsk
1 : 4
Univ. Craiova
01 Jul
Slavia Mozyr
2 : 4
ML Vitebsk
27 Jun
ML Vitebsk
2 : 1
Naftan
21 Jun
FC Minsk
2 : 2
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

Sutjeska

(Away)
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1
Sutjeska
01 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2
FK Sarajevo
24 Jun
Mornar Bar
1 : 0
Sutjeska
23 Jun
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
TBD-
TBD-
Derry City-
Lugano-
TBD-
TBD-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
TBD-
TBD-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
TBD-
Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
TBD-
TBD-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
TBD-
Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
TBD-
Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
TBD-
TBD-
Noah-
Aluminij-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
TBD-
Sion-
Motherwell-
TBD-
TBD-
HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
TBD-
Hibernian-
Paks-
TBD-
TBD-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
TBD-
TBD-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
TBD-
TBD-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
TBD-
Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
TBD-
Koper-
Partizan-
TBD-
UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
TBD-
FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Glentoran1
RFS4
TBD-
Vestri-
Decic1
FK Liepaja3
TBD-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
TBD-
TBD-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
TBD-
TBD-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori3
Virtus2
TBD-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
TBD-
TBD-
Brann-
Valur-
TBD-
TBD-
Zrinjski-
Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
TBD-
Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
FK Panevezys-
TBD-
TBD-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
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Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
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FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
TBD-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
TBD-
CFR Cluj-
FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
Spartak Trnava-
TBD-
TBD-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
TBD-
TBD-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
TBD-
TBD-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
TBD-
TBD-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
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TBD-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
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TNS-
Floriana-
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Drita-
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Riga FC-
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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