Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League Vitebsk CSK

Univ. Craiova

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ML Vitebsk play Univ. Craiova in the Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, ML Vitebsk averaged 2.37 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Univ. Craiova averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, ML Vitebsk won 2, Univ. Craiova won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 3-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for ML Vitebsk and 1.50 for Univ. Craiova. This points to a ML Vitebsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

ML Vitebsk

20%

Draws

39%

Univ. Craiova

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

ML Vitebsk picked up more points recently compared to Univ. Craiova.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 16%

Univ. Craiova Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	ML Vitebsk	Univ. Craiova
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	18	18
Draws	5	6
Losses	4	4
Goals Scored	2.37	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.04	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Champions League

ML Vitebsk vs Univ. Craiova

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3-1

Apr 12, 2025 Champions League

Univ. Craiova vs ML Vitebsk

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-1

Mar 12, 2025 Champions League

ML Vitebsk vs Univ. Craiova

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1-0

Feb 12, 2025 Champions League

Univ. Craiova vs ML Vitebsk

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2-0

Jan 12, 2025 Champions League

ML Vitebsk vs Univ. Craiova

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 40 / 100

Univ. Craiova 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ML Vitebsk Univ. Craiova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ML Vitebsk or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ML Vitebsk attacking → ← attacking Univ. Craiova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Univ. Craiova let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

ML Vitebsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Univ. Craiova lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 60

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63