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ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tikhonovskiy S.
Assist: Egorov S.
28' Event
Mesarovic A.
Penalty Missed
50' Event
Kontsevoy A.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between ML Vitebsk and Vitebsk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
ML Vitebsk
15%
Draws
46%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ML Vitebsk come out ahead of Vitebsk on wins alone.
  • Model gives ML Vitebsk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk Vitebsk
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk
0:1
May 31, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk
2:0
Oct 7, 2023 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Vitebsk
0:4
Jun 4, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontsevoy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tikhonovskiy S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teverov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 36 / 100
Vitebsk 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Vitebsk let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

ML Vitebsk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS Vitebsk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ML Vitebsk

(Home)
19 Aug
ML Vitebsk
2 : 0
FK Baranovici
13 Aug
ML Vitebsk
2 : 2
Borac Banja Luka
06 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0
ML Vitebsk
30 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2
ML Vitebsk
23 Jul
ML Vitebsk
3 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 5

Vitebsk

(Away)
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0
Vitebsk
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
01 Aug
FC Gomel
0 : 1
Vitebsk
25 Jul
FC Gomel
1 : 2
Vitebsk
18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3
Vitebsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Minsk 15 11 3 1 30:12 36
2 ML Vitebsk 15 10 4 1 32:13 34
3 Isloch Minsk 16 10 4 2 30:14 34
4 Dynamo Brest 18 9 3 6 30:17 30
5 FC Gomel 18 8 5 5 27:15 29
6 FC Minsk 18 8 4 6 25:23 28
7 Vitebsk 18 7 5 6 18:17 26
8 Neman 17 7 3 7 18:17 24
9 Zhodino 17 6 5 6 23:18 23
10 Slavia Mozyr 17 5 6 6 20:23 21
11 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 18 5 6 7 20:29 21
12 FK Baranovici 18 4 5 9 20:34 17
13 BATE 16 2 7 7 12:19 13
14 Dnepr Mogilev 18 2 7 9 16:29 13
15 Belshina 16 3 3 10 14:31 12
16 Naftan 17 2 4 11 16:40 10
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)