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ML Vitebsk vs Zhodino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Vitebsk CSK, Vitebsk
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ML Vitebsk host Zhodino in the Vysshaya Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: ML Vitebsk at 1.84 goals for, 1 against; Zhodino at 1.25 for, 1.29 against. Past meetings favor Zhodino slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.75) point toward ML Vitebsk. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
ML Vitebsk
30%
Draws
18%
Zhodino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ML Vitebsk lately — more wins on the board than Zhodino.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on ML Vitebsk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 68%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ML Vitebsk Zhodino
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.84 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs ML Vitebsk
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Zhodino
0:1
May 8, 2025 Belarusian Cup
ML Vitebsk vs Zhodino
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs ML Vitebsk
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Zhodino vs ML Vitebsk
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ML Vitebsk 95 / 100
Zhodino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ML Vitebsk Zhodino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ML Vitebsk has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ML Vitebsk scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Zhodino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Difficult form: Zhodino registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ML Vitebsk VS Zhodino
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ML Vitebsk

(Home)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
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Zhodino

(Away)
03 Oct
Zhodino
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0
Zhodino
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2
FC Gomel
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4
Zhodino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)