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Mladost Carev Dvor vs Turnovo

North Macedonia North Macedonia

First League 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Tasev M. In: Taipi S.
Out: Tasev M.
46'
Sub
Mavrov M. In: Ivanov K.
Out: Mavrov M.
56' Event
Stoilov G.

AI Match Summary

The First League 2015/2016 game between Mladost Carev Dvor and Turnovo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turnovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mladost Carev Dvor
15%
Draws
85%
Turnovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turnovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Turnovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Turnovo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First League 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Turnovo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mladost Carev Dvor Clean Sheet 20%
Turnovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Carev Dvor Turnovo
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 2 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.4 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2016 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Turnovo
0:2
Apr 20, 2016 1. MFL
Turnovo vs Mladost Carev Dvor
2:0
Mar 19, 2016 1. MFL
Turnovo vs Mladost Carev Dvor
3:1
Dec 10, 2015 1. MFL
Mladost Carev Dvor vs Turnovo
2:1
Oct 4, 2015 1. MFL
Turnovo vs Mladost Carev Dvor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mladost Carev Dvor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Turnovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoilov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Timov F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Carev Dvor 10 / 100
Turnovo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Carev Dvor Turnovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turnovo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Turnovo conceded in 83% of 23 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Turnovo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mladost Carev Dvor found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Turnovo
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mladost Carev Dvor

(Home)
12 Oct
Mladost Carev Dvor
:
Met. Skopje
21 Sept
Met. Skopje
:
Mladost Carev Dvor
15 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 4
Renova
08 May
Met. Skopje
4 : 0
Mladost Carev Dvor
04 May
Mladost Carev Dvor
0 : 2
Turnovo
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Turnovo

(Away)
20 Feb
Turnovo
0 : 1
Osogovo
10 Feb
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 1
Turnovo
09 Sept
Turnovo
2 : 0
Brera Strumica
21 Oct
Borec
3 : 0
Turnovo
14 Oct
Turnovo
0 : 3
Pobeda Valandovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renova 33 13 8 12 49:42 47
2 Turnovo 33 12 10 11 45:43 46
3 Met. Skopje 33 5 4 24 27:66 19
4 Mladost Carev Dvor 33 6 1 26 22:81 19
Relegation - First League 2015/2016 (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2016/2017 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2016/2017 (Main)