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Mladost Zdralovi vs Jadran Luka Ploce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL Stadion "Brdo" Zdralovi, Bjelovar
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mladost Zdralovi host Jadran Luka Ploce in the Prva NL. This one's hard to separate. Mladost Zdralovi have averaged 1.45 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Jadran Luka Ploce's 1.71 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Mladost Zdralovi have won 2 to Jadran Luka Ploce's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.31) back Mladost Zdralovi to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mladost Zdralovi
15%
Draws
45%
Jadran Luka Ploce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jadran Luka Ploce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jadran Luka Ploce lately — more wins on the board than Mladost Zdralovi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Prva NL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mladost Zdralovi Clean Sheet 18%
Jadran Luka Ploce Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mladost Zdralovi Jadran Luka Ploce
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Druga NL
Mladost Zdralovi vs Jadran Luka Ploce
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Mladost Zdralovi
0:2
May 9, 2025 Druga NL
Mladost Zdralovi vs Jadran Luka Ploce
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 Druga NL
Jadran Luka Ploce vs Mladost Zdralovi
1:0
May 11, 2024 Druga NL
Mladost Zdralovi vs Jadran Luka Ploce
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mladost Zdralovi 32 / 100
Jadran Luka Ploce 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mladost Zdralovi Jadran Luka Ploce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mladost Zdralovi scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Jadran Luka Ploce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Mladost Zdralovi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mladost Zdralovi VS Jadran Luka Ploce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mladost Zdralovi

(Home)
09 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
2 : 1
Cibalia
25 Sept
Dinamo Zagreb 2
1 : 0
Mladost Zdralovi
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3
Segesta
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
09 Sept
Orijent
2 : 3
Mladost Zdralovi
Page 1 of 6

Jadran Luka Ploce

(Away)
09 Oct
Sesvete
1 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Oct
Zrinjski
2 : 1
Jadran Luka Ploce
26 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Kustosija
19 Sept
Vukovar 1991
2 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia Zmijavci 8 5 1 2 12:6 16
2 Jadran Luka Ploce 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Mladost Zdralovi 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
4 Cibalia 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
5 Bijelo Brdo 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
6 Dinamo Zagreb 2 8 4 0 4 14:12 12
7 Karlovac 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
8 Segesta 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
9 Orijent 8 3 2 3 8:9 11
10 Vukovar 1991 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
11 Sesvete 8 3 1 4 10:9 10
12 Dugopolje 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
13 Opatija 8 2 2 4 9:11 8
14 Dubrava Zagreb 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
15 Kustosija 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
16 Hrvace 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
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