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Mlandege vs APR

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025
Mlandege Logo

Mlandege

0 - 2
FT
APR Logo

APR

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Dao M.
48' Event
Togui W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with APR advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mlandege
15%
Draws
57%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mlandege haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans APR's way, sitting at 80%.
  • APR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor APR, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mlandege Clean Sheet 19%
APR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mlandege APR
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.79 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mlandege vs APR
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mlandege Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

APR Compare

Top Goalscorer Dao M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Togui W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mlandege 12 / 100
APR 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mlandege APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APR let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Mlandege scored in 43% of their last 14 games.

Solid form: Mlandege remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS APR
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mlandege

(Home)
31 Dec
Mlandege
0 : 1
Uganda Revenue
27 Sept
Mlandege
3 : 2
Ethiopian Insurance
20 Sept
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 0
Mlandege
08 Sept
Bumamuru
0 : 3
Mlandege
06 Sept
Mlandege
0 : 2
APR
Page 1 of 3

APR

(Away)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singida Black Stars 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Police FC 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
4 Garde-Cotes 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Kinondoni MC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Mlandege 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Bumamuru 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Mogadishu City 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Madani 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Kator 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)