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Mlandege vs Uganda Revenue

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Amaku F.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Mlandege and Uganda Revenue finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uganda Revenue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mlandege
15%
Draws
46%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda Revenue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda Revenue carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Mlandege Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mlandege Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.79 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2025 Club Friendly
Mlandege vs Uganda Revenue
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mlandege Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaku F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mlandege 32 / 100
Uganda Revenue 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mlandege Uganda Revenue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda Revenue's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Mlandege's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Mlandege remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uganda Revenue
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mlandege

(Home)
31 Dec
Mlandege
0 : 1
Uganda Revenue
27 Sept
Mlandege
3 : 2
Ethiopian Insurance
20 Sept
Ethiopian Insurance
2 : 0
Mlandege
08 Sept
Bumamuru
0 : 3
Mlandege
06 Sept
Mlandege
0 : 2
APR
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Uganda Revenue

(Away)
15 Sept
NEC FC
4 : 1
Uganda Revenue
04 Sept
Uganda Revenue
0 : 1
Villa
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
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